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A War Whose Consequences Can Not Be Foreseen.

28/8/2013

 
Picture* credit see below
Russia's and China's are demanding that robust evidence are produced, visible for every member of the "International Community". These evidence must be  clearly on the table.   Russia's and China's demand is more than understandable - especially evidence that will stand up in the United Nations. So, if they do exist why those who are saying they do, are not coming forward? 

As long as this evidence do not exist the allegations are stinking miles away against the wind just in the same way as the lies about Saddam's WMD's. It simply can not go on that NATO is the air-force of Saudi-Arabia and other Gulf monarchies. Plus, with all this lying, and till evidences are not presented to the UN, Kerry's, Obama's, Hollande's et all talks can not be trusted while the situation is just getting further out of control. 

Why is it so difficult for some Western leaders to understand that from its inner logic Russia can't allow to yield: Syria is a cornerstone of Russia's Middle East policy.  It is therefore not obvious that the Kremlin will drop Assad. Because of this it is difficult to imagine that the conflict can be solved without Moscow.  Or are we going to bomb their facilities as well, as we did bomb the Chinese embassy in Belgrade 1999? If we alienate Moscow and Beijing and then on top of it at the same time, set the "wider Middle-East" in flames by celebrating the protests of the people, we will not make the world a better place. We will less often have a chance to reach consensus and will then in the future just talk about "compromises". Most of all we better have plans how our dependency on energy resources can be compensated, - after those excising ones are gone. It is no secret that Iraq today is still producing less oil then it did during the sanctions. For those who remember the thesis of Bin-Laden: "how to make the West ungovernable" knows what I'm talking about. 

Worrisome is that the way to get to legitimize military intervention by the UN Security Council, is hardly up for debate among our Western "reality monopolist".   Besides Russia and China will veto it. Even if D. Cameron and F. Hollande are loosing their victory over their economies, which is still in their countries since 5 years in tatters. To divert public attention with a "Tomahawk staccato" can't be a solution. The US is heading to another increase of its debt-level since it has reached the top of the mountain of 17 trillion debts.  See here the two interviews: the first by Lord David Oven, chief negotiator during the conflict in Yugoslavia, the second by es former head of the British Army, General Lord Dannatt. Both are are very conscious about any sort of intervention.

It is wrong to say that all diplomatic means have been exhausted. To prevent the situation from escalating, the world powers need as quickly as possible go to the negotiating table. Russia and China have to be convinced by a broad alliance which can make it clear that solutions are possible, - for example an alliance of Western countries and the Arab League. This again demands: there must be evidence submitted that the Assad regime has committed this crimes and was using chemical weapons, - if such evidences exist...

Also, even Syria is not officially on the agenda: an opportunity for such talks offers the G-20 summit next week in St. Petersburg. A military intervention before the meeting of the leaders of the major industrialized countries and emerging economies of the world would be more than a serious mistake. Not again another Iraq!

In addition, the German government would be well advised to be very subdued and quiet. In '80 years, the German companies "Immhausen Chemie" and "Kolb AG" had supplied poison gas production facilities to Iraq and Libya. It was in the good old days of journalism as the NYT made this crime known to the public, that German companies are building these factories in Samara and Rabtia. 


photo credentials: this "explanation is from Jeremey Bowens Twitter side. Just his Twitter site is a real treasure trove




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