Propaganda and counter-propaganda have the same root and serve the purpose of deliberate stupefaction. Counter-propaganda, however, is trickier: the intention is to provoke reactions in order to generate information. Otherwise I cannot understand this conjecture essay.
The only useful thing about such disinformation is that the latent anti-Semitism everywhere becomes really visible in its various layers in all societies
Ok, let's assume that there was no knowledge that nitro ammonium was stored there. Let's assume that there was no known storage of nitro ammonia. Wouldn't that be the greater improbability? And then, even if it was known, what difference would it make?
Would Israel's leadership want to provoke a war? If so, what allies of Israel would / could still be willing to support Israel without not being suspected of being a supporter of crime? Is His Untouchable Sovereignty so deep in the shit that he now has to organise a Masada? No, he is not! He has his "base". Consisting on what sort of individuals?
I am highly skeptical that such assumptions based on “highly informed sources”. Sure, they will become commonplace now since for 2 decades now politician talk about a “high degree of certainties”, highly likely" and "unalterable certainty”.
If this is possible why is it not similarly likely that the little Saudi trickster wants to settle a score because his tricky business with Syria didn't work out and Saudi investors with their Lebanese projects (Hariri) saw their investment gambled away by a Lebanese government which is composed almost entirely of war criminals. Lebanese youth had been trying for months to free themselves from these warlords running the entire country into the ground…
The reality is: speculating is difficult since we are in the early phases of the downturn into a 9/11 syndrome, Covid syndrome, or to stay in Lebanon, Hariri syndrome. Events can only be assessed retrospectively. I find it absurd that every time something mysterious happens, funny people try to use conspiracy drums to find the culprits in Israel.
It seems patently obvious to anyone who actually thinks about these issues and still we as humanity are now at a critical juncture in history. But the world has postponed, indefinitely, dealing decisively with the challenges of investigation of where the virus really came from, which caused the two sky-scraper to fall apart, was there a Russia Gate. Anyone who questions the present course is held up to ridicule as a professional pessimist, or worse. Nothing is done, and we ignore reality.