He was like our pet bird for a long time. Fed and cared for during the winter, protected by the Rottweiler during the summer from neighbour's cat.
But since a few months I could observe that the tits did not even fly away when Clyde was standing next to them. At first I thought it was habituation but now studies have been published in Germany claiming that tits are also dying en masse from some kind of pneumonia.
Bacterium Suttonella ornithocola causes death of blue tits.
(Text in German)
The largest economy in the EU has already lost more than 20%.
I'm really not an economic expert, so I research what the trends are, what the experts say and then mix that with my rather sceptical view of humanity's reasonable actions.
The Gesellschaft für Konsumforschung, GFK, is one of the leading economic analysts in Germany. I am not writing anything about Italy or France here. Nor does Merkel carry any weight here. She is rather, as usual, with her strangely calm way of speaking, suitable to calm and comfort the people. It is the average German citizen who is worried. And when they do, other EU member governments should should do too...
The reality in Germany looks like this:
The GfK "consumption barometer", which measures the buying mood of consumers, has fallen to a record low. The study, entitled "Corona shock: consumer climate reaches historic low" and it describes:
1. consumers expect recession
2. income expectation in free fall
3. consumption is carried along by income expectations
Production shutdowns, shop closures and the catering trade have brought economic activity to a virtual standstill in many areas. In addition, interrupted supply chains hinder production in many areas of industry. Many companies are making use of the possibility of short-time working to avoid redundancies. Nevertheless, it will not be possible to prevent a rise in unemployment in the further course of this year. The resulting fear of job losses is weighing on sentiment.
While the economic outlook is currently still getting off lightly given the severity of the crisis, income expectations have suffered an unprecedented slump. Compared with the previous month, the indicator lost 47.1 points and now stands at -19.3 points. Never before since the start of the monthly survey of consumer sentiment in 1980 has a higher monthly loss of income expectations been measured.
One does not need a mathematical genius to calculate the consequences of the loss of about 20+% of the current VAT of 20% in terms of loss of tax revenue. When unemployment is rising and rich individuals run for the hills (or tax heavens), were is the money supposed to come from?
According to the Federal Employment Agency (BA), just under one in three of the 2.2 million companies with at least one employee subject to social insurance contributions has registered for short-time work. More jobs have already been cut in the service sector than at the height of the financial crisis recession in April 2009. In the manufacturing sector even before Corona, Daimler Benz, Mercedes, had decided to cut up to 15,000 jobs. VW was already pushed into the defensive thanks to strange methods of a lobbyist NGO, "Deutsche Umwelthilfe".
But it is by far the largest employer, the medium-sized companies that are now being led to the slaughterhouse to be gutted by ominous tax avoidance hedge funds like Black Rock who will sell their patents and pension funds to the highest bidders.
The forecasts for the increase in unemployment from the current 2.3 million, which fluctuates between 700,000 and 2.5 million. increase, so to speak. This could lead to a total unemployment of 5 million.
The job index of the Federal Employment Agency (BA-X), an indicator for the demand for labour in Germany, fell by 20 points in March 2020, April has not yet been recorded and is due to be published on 30 April.
As of the fourth month in Corona short-time work, employees whose working hours have been reduced by at least half will now receive 70 and 77 percent, respectively. From the seventh month, the rates will increase to 80 to 87 percent. The reserves of the Employment Agency amount to almost 26 billion euros.
For me it is more than questionable whether the government's decisions will stabilise consumer demand. This is completely open because Corona will act as a booster for the use of artificial intelligence.
Use your brain and if not, keep an enormous supply of flour, yeast, pasta and toilet paper - that will help.
In principle you are not allowed to leave the house, but if you want to, you can.
For your security you better wear masks. Even if masks are useless, but you should definitely wear one, because it can save lives. Then you are protected for your retail therapy because all the shops are closed except the ones that are open. There is no lack of food in the supermarket, but there are many things missing and others are not there at the moment.
Yes of course this virus is deadly, but not too scary, except that it may lead to a global catastrophe in which case many people will die. That’s why everybody has to stay at home, but should not forget that it is also important to go outside, especially in sunshine, but it is better not to go outside, except for sports of course, but actually no ...
The virus has no effect on children, except for those it affects. And animals are not affected, but there is still a cat that tested positive in Belgium in February, when nobody else was tested, plus a few tigers here and there and rarely dogs, actually no dogs, but sometimes they do ... Any surface, except the fur of your pet, can naturally transmit the disease.
You will have many symptoms if you are ill, but you can also get ill without symptoms, have symptoms without being ill, or be contagious without having symptoms, as well as visa versa. This is the reason why you cannot go to old people's homes or visit your grandparents, but you have to take care of the elderly and it is best to bring food and medicine.
The virus remains active on different surfaces for two hours, no four, no six, no, did I say hours, maybe days? But it needs a humid environment. But actually not necessarily. Eventually the virus doesn't actually stay airborne, but it does from time to time. Especially in an enclosed space. It's not a smear virus but a smear infection is possible.
We should remain locked up until the virus disappears, but it will only disappear if we achieve a collective immunity, that is, if it circulates. We can't be cooped up too much for that, so we’re better staying at home most of the time.
Anyway if you have been sick, you may get sick again later, but in between you are immune.
Otherwise do it like we, get a boat...
— we are going into meltdown:
(again such a huge text part, but it's still too early to photograph the carcasses of the upcoming melt-down. That will come at the end of this year. So stay tuned ...)
First came Austerity in 2008, then came CoVid and soon comes the debt which will lead to a ruinous recession or a European Union, even the world and its societies so debt-laden that they all will be at the mercy of the ‘moneymen’ for decades to come, - also in "communist" China.
The government will have no choice but to practically nationalise the economy. In about two months time, half of all the airline operators in the world will be insolvent and so will overseas shipping companies. This will effect supply chains, which will cause factories to close which will cause growing numbers of workers to struggle to secure their livelihoods and pay the bills as the economic consequences of each broken link in the chain unravels.
It’s already clear, many will be told to go home without pay, many more will lose their jobs. Then, in another three months local pubs, shops and small businesses will shut by the summer, forget about revenues coming from tourism, so also “re-creational” regions will stutter like a broken motor.
Tax revenues will fall as companies will fail to pay quarterly VAT bills or any other tax bills. Finance ministries will be unable to react as they are swamped with requests for delayed payments. Crucially, they won’t be able to demand payment either.
With the autumn the economy will have entered a recession. Estimates from economists are already replicating a 15 per cent in GDP by the year end. The government will provide low-cost loans, insurance to employers, lost income payments to employees and all kind of tricky interventions to make it look like it is in control.
Laws will be changed and most of national governments will be able to wield as much power as China’s president. Police will be given new legal capabilities and the mainstream media will be co-opted to fall into line.
For two years whistleblowers, journalists and editors will face personal problems for publishing any leaked documents (as Assange, Snowdon and many others do already now)all to keep the public in the dark on matters relating to coronavirus infections and deaths and other matters, which will still leak through social media.
The national debt in EU countries is already an 71% per cent of GDP in Germany and 171 % in Greece… The recent budget will mean the EU will be facing its national debts at in the trillions by 2024 (without the additional billions for the coronavirus stimulus packages with no prospect of doing anything but continuing to rise for years to come.
The debt-interest service cost will this zero interests ECB means the average nation in Europe may have to pay a billion per week… And better not getting started with private household debt which is already at a record high, - set to explode over the next twelve months. Unsecured debt will see two spikes, the first will be the scale of new loans, the second will be the scale of defaults. Car loans last year were already staggering and many will default this year.
So will corporate debt get out of control. It has risen by 75 per cent since 2011. Many listed companies used surplus cash to buy back their own shares to inflate the price in order that executives got paid more.
To add to the loading, the global economy is slowing, meaning less demand for manufactured goods and services. Trump’s trade wars are completely silly and don’t help of course. To take up the slack the government will start rapidly spending, even going as far as printing more money and as the ECB base rate is reduced, fiscal rules are loosened – borrowing will increase, defaults will follow as will bailouts.
As the fog of the coronavirus crisis clears later in the year and we are still burying its victims many people will come to realise what is really unfolding. Austerity undermined the proper functioning of society and COVID has all but destroyed the economy, loading heavy debts over all sectors.
Right now the money men are running for the hills – the Euro has plunged in value against the USD, but the US$ is basically worthless if you see the debt mountain of 23 Trillion due to the senseless wars waged.
To put it simple: It’s the sign of an economy staring over the cliff and ready to dive into the abyss. But make no mistake, the vultures (bankers, hedge funds, billionaires, etc) will be back when the country is at it weakest and from their lost profits will demand their pound of flesh.
The last blow, and perhaps the hardest:
I’m used to politicising your societies death I did it in the many areas of conflict I was working as a photo-journalist and writer. And I can sense it, feel it: There is so much anger yet to come. I just hope it burns clean. For the sake of my children and grandchildren.
Port Forum in Sant Adria de Besos (northern Barcelona) is a modern marina in an very contemporary and vibrant district of the Catalonian capital.
The marina can welcome yachts up to 80 m on the berths located in the outer basin. The inner part of the marina is for boats over 10 m, with a restriction in height (air-draft < 10 m).
Who still remembers the impertinence of leading German politicians who talked Greece into buying German cannons and submarines and then forced the Greek population into a austerity scheme from which the citizens there have not recovered until today does not need to read this book, - unless he wants to know what will happen to him after this virus campaign. Have fun and a good preparation phase for the abolition of prosperity.
Politically responsible will use their spin doctors and allies in the corporate media to obscure the fact that they are quietly and temporarily becoming socialists to deal with the emergency. They will change the welfare rules so that all those in the gig economy they created – employed on zero-hours contracts – do not spread the virus because they cannot afford to self-quarantine or take days’ off sick.
Reading Janis again....
When you aren’t going anywhere, the danger is that you might start seeing the way things are going. Just as medieval peasants wondered whether the world would end if they refused to give their lord their labour for free, we might find ourselves wondering why, if the The political responsible are capable of mustering so much financial and material firepower to fight this virus which was apparently coming from nowhere to save businesses from going under, But they can’t muster it for other purposes, like education, proper health-care for everybody etc...
(Drama of the art of war - Sun Tzu)
COVID-19 must be seen in the context of the economic war between China and the U.S. Only that Europe was severely affected...
The curtain rises: China falls ill, goes into "crisis" and paralyses its trade.
The curtain comes down.
The curtain rises: The Chinese currency is being devalued. China does nothing.
The curtain comes down.
The curtain rises: Due to the lack of trading by companies in Europe and the USA based in China, their shares are falling by about 40% of their value.
The curtain comes down.
The curtain rises: The whole world is sick. In China, only Wuhan. but no one notices. China buys 30% of the shares of companies in Europe and the USA based in China at a very low price ... but nobody talks.
The curtain comes down.
The curtain rises: China has managed to isolate Wuhan and control the disease. It now owns a significant percentage of companies in Europe and the USA based in China. It is decided that these companies will stay in China and earn 20 billion US dollars.
The curtain comes down.
Defeat. Unbelievable but true!
First and foremost they were too prepared. Three weeks after the beginning of the list and a hospital with 12.000 beds was already under construction. And they even built it in two weeks.
Yesterday they announced they had stopped the epidemic. They appear in videos celebrating that they even have a vaccine. How could he do it so quickly without having all the genetic information?
Well, if you have the formula, it's not difficult at all.
And today, a video explaining how Den Xiao Ping dealt Den Xiao Ping a half blow to the West. Due to the corona virus, the stock of Western Chinese companies has dropped dramatically. When they went down enough, China bought them.
Now companies that were founded in China by Europe and the United States with all their technology and capital have passed into the hands of China, which will now grow and be able to set prices and then sell everything the West needs to the West.
None of this could have happened... just like that. By accident. Does China care that some old people are dead? Well, to pay less pensions. But the robbery was huge, not the victory!
Now the West is in crisis, defeated and astonished; stunned! - and without knowing what it will do.
Devilish mastery; the art of war - Sun Tzu.
Why do Russia and North Korea have a low or almost zero incidence of COVID-19? On the other hand, the USA / UK / France / Italy / Spain and Asia are severely affected.
How is it that Wuhan is "suddenly" released by the deadly virus? China says that because of the drastic initial measures they took ... because they were very strict in implementing the measures and Wuhan was isolated to prevent it from spreading to other areas. Really? Why wasn't Beijing or other cities in China hit? Why just Wuhan? It's interesting, isn't it?
Well, it looks like Wuhan is now open for business.
Soon the US and European economies will collapse as China has planned. Because China knew it could not defeat America militarily... and found another way.
At the height of the COVID 19 epidemic, when he visited the affected areas of Wuhan, Xi Jinping wore only a simple RM1 mask. As president he should have been covered from head to toe. Why not? - Because he had already been injected an Immunisation, - which means it existed before the killer virus was released.
China's desire to control the global economy by buying shares from countries on the verge of a severe economic collapse is this part of a war the "stable genius" of the White House provoked...
So when will China announce that Chinese researchers have found a means to destroy this virus and establish themselves as the saviours of humanity?
Instead of letters I'm writing this blog
I'm the founder of “tomorrow’s old hat”, this photo-blog, which is a place of many ramblings about photojournalism. If you find something useful on here, it's probably an accident.
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